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Preparing for War: Political Campaigns and their Effects on Voters
Unformatted Document Text:  34 Table 8 Aggregate Turnout – Statewide Variable Model with Aggregate Measures Model with Previous Turnout Dem. State Party Advertising .072 (.116) -.085 (.118) Dem. State Party Grassroots -.240 (.204) -.237 (.206) Dem. Candidate Advertising .043 (.175) .099 (.181) Dem. Candidate Grassroots .063 (.234) -.074 (.238) Rep. State Party Advertising -.014 (.102) .031 (.105) Rep. State Party Grassroots .217 (.156) -.097 (.164) Rep. Candidate Advertising .118 (.232) .012 (.236) Rep. Candidate Grassroots 1.55 (.273) .289 (.278) Previous Turnout – .595 (.063)** Income 1.45x10 -4 (.000) – Residential Mobility -.038 (.176) – Minority Population -.278 (.055)** – Registration Days -.274 (.057)** – Senate Competition .577 (.546) .678 (.553) Presidential Battleground -.170 (.462) .720 (.466) Average House Competition -.798 (1.868) 2.627 (1.852) 1994 Dummy -15.155 (2.362)** -20.394 (3.563)** 1998 Dummy -19.641 (2.623)** -18.710 (2.527)** 2000 Dummy -5.070 (2.647) a -.146 (2.364) Constant 57.822 (5.170)** 26.730 (3.860)** R 2 .776 .753 Number of Cases 127 127 Cell entries are ordinary least squares coefficients. Standard errors in parentheses. ** - significant at .01 level * - significant at .05 level a – significance = .058

Authors: Brox, Brian.
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34
Table 8
Aggregate Turnout – Statewide
Variable
Model with
Aggregate Measures
Model with
Previous Turnout
Dem. State Party Advertising
.072 (.116)
-.085 (.118)
Dem. State Party Grassroots
-.240 (.204)
-.237 (.206)
Dem. Candidate Advertising
.043 (.175)
.099 (.181)
Dem. Candidate Grassroots
.063 (.234)
-.074 (.238)
Rep. State Party Advertising
-.014 (.102)
.031 (.105)
Rep. State Party Grassroots
.217 (.156)
-.097 (.164)
Rep. Candidate Advertising
.118 (.232)
.012 (.236)
Rep. Candidate Grassroots
1.55 (.273)
.289 (.278)
Previous Turnout
–
.595 (.063)**
Income
1.45x10
-4
(.000)
–
Residential Mobility
-.038 (.176)
–
Minority Population
-.278 (.055)**
–
Registration Days
-.274 (.057)**
–
Senate Competition
.577 (.546)
.678 (.553)
Presidential Battleground
-.170 (.462)
.720 (.466)
Average House Competition
-.798 (1.868)
2.627 (1.852)
1994 Dummy
-15.155 (2.362)**
-20.394 (3.563)**
1998 Dummy
-19.641 (2.623)**
-18.710 (2.527)**
2000 Dummy
-5.070 (2.647)
a
-.146 (2.364)
Constant
57.822 (5.170)**
26.730 (3.860)**
R
2
.776
.753
Number of Cases
127
127
Cell entries are ordinary least squares coefficients. Standard errors in parentheses.
** - significant at .01 level
* - significant at .05 level
a
– significance = .058


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