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A Longitudinal Time Series Analysis of the Foreign Affairs Issue: Agendas of the President, the Media, the Public

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Abstract:

This study examines the relationship among the agendas of the president, the mass media, and the public regarding the foreign policy issue in the United States from January 1989 to December 1996. ARIMA time-series analysis is used in an attempt to assess which factors drive measured public opinion regarding foreign policy. Most important problem survey results from various polling organizations are aggregated into a series of 96 monthly time points to measure the public agenda. The media agenda is developed from a content analysis of the foreign policy issue in the evening news broadcasts of the three major television networks and The New York Times. The presidential agenda is developed from a similar analysis of the Public Papers of the Presidents. Results indicate support for a bidirectional, or two-way relationship between the President and public opinion. Little support was found for a one-way relationship between the media agenda and the President.

Most Common Document Word Stems:

public (176), foreign (156), polici (128), issu (110), media (107), opinion (94), relat (82), agenda (80), presid (79), relationship (61), time (59), event (55), presidenti (52), effort (49), coverag (47), studi (43), news (42), analysi (33), affair (30), seri (29), total (28),

Author's Keywords:

Time Series, Agenda Setting, Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy
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Name: International Communication Association
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MLA Citation:

Mitrook, Michael. "A Longitudinal Time Series Analysis of the Foreign Affairs Issue: Agendas of the President, the Media, the Public" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the International Communication Association, Marriott Hotel, San Diego, CA, May 27, 2003 <Not Available>. 2009-05-26 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p111770_index.html>

APA Citation:

Mitrook, M. A. , 2003-05-27 "A Longitudinal Time Series Analysis of the Foreign Affairs Issue: Agendas of the President, the Media, the Public" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the International Communication Association, Marriott Hotel, San Diego, CA Online <.PDF>. 2009-05-26 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p111770_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Review Method: Peer Reviewed
Abstract: This study examines the relationship among the agendas of the president, the mass media, and the public regarding the foreign policy issue in the United States from January 1989 to December 1996. ARIMA time-series analysis is used in an attempt to assess which factors drive measured public opinion regarding foreign policy. Most important problem survey results from various polling organizations are aggregated into a series of 96 monthly time points to measure the public agenda. The media agenda is developed from a content analysis of the foreign policy issue in the evening news broadcasts of the three major television networks and The New York Times. The presidential agenda is developed from a similar analysis of the Public Papers of the Presidents. Results indicate support for a bidirectional, or two-way relationship between the President and public opinion. Little support was found for a one-way relationship between the media agenda and the President.

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Document Type: .PDF
Page count: 28
Word count: 7372
Text sample:
A LONGITUDINAL TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF THE FOREIGN AFFAIRS ISSUE 1989-1996: THE AGENDAS OF THE PRESIDENT THE MEDIA AND THE PUBLIC A LONGITUDINAL TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF THE FOREIGN AFFAIRS ISSUE 1989-1996: THE AGENDAS OF THE PRESIDENT THE MEDIA AND THE PUBLIC ABSTRACT This study examines the relationship among the agendas of the president the mass media and the public regarding the foreign policy issue in the United States from January 1989 to December 1996. ARIMA time-series analysis is
Monographs 126 1-47. Seib P. (1997). Headline diplomacy: How news coverage affects foreign policy. Westport CT: Praeger. Sigal L. (1986). Sources make the news. In R. Manoff & M. Schudson (Eds.) Reading the news (pp. 9-37). New York: Pantheon. SPSS Inc. (1988). SPSS trends. Chicago: SPSS. Turk J. V. (1986). Information subsidies and media content: A study of public relations influence on the news. Journalism Monographs 100. Weaver D. H. & Elliot S. N. (1985). Who sets the agenda


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