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Agenda setting and political partisanship in an election campaign: Reinforcing and undermining partisan voting intentions
Unformatted Document Text:  16 further increment in explained variance after inclusion of the two-way interaction involving importance of the issue of defense, R 2 change = .00, F(2,173) < 1, however there was a marginally significant two way interaction that qualified the main effect of importance of the issue of immigration, R 2 change = .024, F(2,173) = 2.32, p = .10, and the final model including this interaction term explained 12% of the variance in thought about voting decision, F(6,173) = 3.75, p =.002. As can be seen in Figure 3, the positive association between issue importance and thought about voting decision was pronounced for Labor partisans, b = .46, t(173) = 2.93, p = .004, and non-significant for neutral voters, b = .11, t(173) = 1.00, ns, and for Liberal partisans, b = .08, t(173) = .77, ns. ____________________ Figure 3 here ____________________ The analysis on reconsideration of voting intention also revealed a significant increment in explained variance at Step 1 after inclusion of political partisanship, R 2 change = .10, F(2,177) = 9.41, p = .000. Overall, neutral voters (M = 4.19) reported having reconsidered their voting decision more than Labor partisans (M = 3.32), and Liberal partisans (M = 2.53) reported having reconsidered their voting decision least of all. Issue importance did not added reliably to reconsideration of voting decision, R 2 change = .02, F(2,175) = 1.93, ns. There was also no further increment in explained variance after inclusion of the two-way interaction involving importance of the issue of defense, R 2 change = .00, F(2,173) < 1. However, there was a reliable two way interaction involving the issue of immigration, R 2 change = .05, F(2,173) = 5.60, p = .004, and the final model including this interaction term explained 17% of the variance in reconsideration of voting intention, F(6,173) = 5.89, p =.000. There was a significant positive association between issue importance and reconsideration of voting intention for Labor partisans, b = .59, t(173) = 2.45, p = .015, a significant negative association for Liberal partisans, b = –.38, t(173) = -2.17, p = .032, and a non-significant negative association for neutral voters, b = –.18, t(173) = -1.16, ns. As can be seen in Figure 4, issue importance worked in opposite ways for the two partisan groups, consolidating the voting intention of Liberal partisans while undermining the voting intention of Labor partisans.

Authors: Duck, Julie., Morton, Thomas. and Fortey, Kate.
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16
further increment in explained variance after inclusion of the two-way interaction involving
importance of the issue of defense, R
2
change = .00, F(2,173) < 1, however there was a
marginally significant two way interaction that qualified the main effect of importance of the
issue of immigration, R
2
change = .024, F(2,173) = 2.32, p = .10, and the final model including
this interaction term explained 12% of the variance in thought about voting decision, F(6,173) =
3.75, p =.002. As can be seen in Figure 3, the positive association between issue importance and
thought about voting decision was pronounced for Labor partisans, b = .46, t(173) = 2.93, p =
.004, and non-significant for neutral voters, b = .11, t(173) = 1.00, ns, and for Liberal partisans,
b = .08, t(173) = .77, ns.
____________________
Figure 3 here
____________________
The analysis on reconsideration of voting intention also revealed a significant increment
in explained variance at Step 1 after inclusion of political partisanship, R
2
change = .10, F(2,177)
= 9.41, p = .000. Overall, neutral voters (M = 4.19) reported having reconsidered their voting
decision more than Labor partisans (M = 3.32), and Liberal partisans (M = 2.53) reported having
reconsidered their voting decision least of all. Issue importance did not added reliably to
reconsideration of voting decision, R
2
change = .02, F(2,175) = 1.93, ns. There was also no
further increment in explained variance after inclusion of the two-way interaction involving
importance of the issue of defense, R
2
change = .00, F(2,173) < 1. However, there was a reliable
two way interaction involving the issue of immigration, R
2
change = .05, F(2,173) = 5.60, p =
.004, and the final model including this interaction term explained 17% of the variance in
reconsideration of voting intention, F(6,173) = 5.89, p =.000. There was a significant positive
association between issue importance and reconsideration of voting intention for Labor
partisans, b = .59, t(173) = 2.45, p = .015, a significant negative association for Liberal
partisans, b = –.38, t(173) = -2.17, p = .032, and a non-significant negative association for
neutral voters, b = –.18, t(173) = -1.16, ns. As can be seen in Figure 4, issue importance worked
in opposite ways for the two partisan groups, consolidating the voting intention of Liberal
partisans while undermining the voting intention of Labor partisans.


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