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Rationality and Context: Antidotes for Anthrax Anecdotes
Abstract
Two experiments, conducted approximately six weeks apart, examined the
conjoint effects of participant rationality, as assessed by the Rational-Experiential
Inventory (Norris & Epstein, 2002), and base-rate information on apprehension about a
threat. Experiment 1 predicted and found that high rationality individuals who first
received context-expanding information about a relatively likely hazard (traffic deaths)
manifested less apprehension in response to a subsequent news story about a less likely
threat (anthrax death) than did highs who read only the anthrax death story. It was further
predicted and found that among low rationality individuals this relationship was reversed.
Experiment 1 was conducted when the anthrax threat was perceived to be quite serious.
The interaction was not found in Experiment 2, after national attention to anthrax
decreased. Findings are discussed in terms of how high and low rationality individuals
process threat-related information and how they respond to changes in the perceived
seriousness of threat.