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Making US Foreign Policy for South Asia: Off-shore Balancing in Historical Perspective
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The July 18, 2005 meeting in Washington with PM
Manmohan Singh set the stage for President Bush’s to visit India
in early March 2006. In the intervening months Deputy Secretary of State Nicholas Burns and others visited New Delhi in an effort
to negotiate terms that both sides could accept. Such terms would have to square the circle of maintaining a watered down version of
a non-proliferation regime, satisfying both houses of the US Congress, and recognizing and legitimizing India’s standing as a
nuclear power. On March 2, the day after his arrival, it seems likely that George Bush blinked. The agreement he and Manmohan
Singh signed seems to have given India more of what it wanted than it did to meet Department of State expectations. Up to the last
minute Secretary of State Condoleeza Rice was telling her Indian counterparts that their demands were “impossible.”
So what happened? Why did George Bush blink ?
43
Why did he sign on to Manmohan Singh’s version of the nuclear
agreement? When George Bush arrived in New Delhi, he was in
India seemed to be recognized by the US as a de facto nuclear power.
At the same time questions arouse over constraining conditions, i. e. that India separate its nuclear facilities into civilian and military and open the former to IAEA inspection. Voices were immediately raised in India questioning the agreement on various grounds, e.g. that India had given away too much including that India’s nuclear facilities couldn’t [or shouldn’t] be separated or inspected. See The Hindu, Indo – US Joint Statement, July 31,2005.
http://www.hindu.com.thehindu.nic.indous
joint.htm.
43
For an elaboration of our answer to this question see Lloyd I.,
Rudolph and Suanne Hoieber Rudolph, “Why George Bush Blinked?”
Times
of India, Op-Ed, March 14,, 2006..
29
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The July 18, 2005 meeting in Washington with PM
Manmohan Singh set the stage for President Bush’s to visit India
in early March 2006. In the intervening months Deputy Secretary
of State Nicholas Burns and others visited New Delhi in an effort
to negotiate terms that both sides could accept. Such terms would
have to square the circle of maintaining a watered down version of
a non-proliferation regime, satisfying both houses of the US
Congress, and recognizing and legitimizing India’s standing as a
nuclear power. On March 2, the day after his arrival, it seems
likely that George Bush blinked. The agreement he and Manmohan
Singh signed seems to have given India more of what it wanted
than it did to meet Department of State expectations. Up to the last
minute Secretary of State Condoleeza Rice was telling her Indian
counterparts that their demands were “impossible.”
So what happened? Why did George Bush blink ?
Why did he sign on to Manmohan Singh’s version of the nuclear
agreement? When George Bush arrived in New Delhi, he was in
India seemed to be recognized by the US as a de facto nuclear power.
At the same time questions arouse over constraining conditions, i. e. that
India separate its nuclear facilities into civilian and military and open the
former to IAEA inspection. Voices were immediately raised in India
questioning the agreement on various grounds, e.g. that India had given
away too much including that India’s nuclear facilities couldn’t [or
shouldn’t] be separated or inspected. See The Hindu, Indo – US Joint
Statement, July 31,2005.
joint.htm.
43
For an elaboration of our answer to this question see Lloyd I.,
Rudolph and Suanne Hoieber Rudolph, “Why George Bush Blinked?”
Times
of India, Op-Ed, March 14,, 2006..
29
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