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U.S. Presidents and Foreign Policy Mistakes in the Exercise of Power: Conceptual and Empirical Perspectives
Unformatted Document Text:  U.S. Presidents and Foreign Policy Mistakes in the Exercise of Power: Conceptual and Empirical Perspectives Stephen G. Walker Akan Malici Department of Political Science Department of Political Science Arizona State University Furman University Tempe, AZ 85287-3902 Greenville, SC 29613 Email: stephen.## email not listed ## Email: akan.## email not listed ## ABSTRACT We answer the following questions in this paper regarding U.S. presidents and foreign policy mistakes. What are foreign policy mistakes? What are the causes of foreign policy mistakes by U.S. presidents? How can foreign policy mistakes be avoided, mitigated, and corrected? We identify several types of mistakes of omission and commission in the exercise of power at the diagnostic and prescriptive stages of decision-making by various U.S. presidents. The causes of these foreign policy mistakes are deviations from a rational model of decision-making, due to a variety of individual, group, and organizational decision-making pathologies. The prescription that we recommend to cope with these pathologies is to follow an updated strategy of disjointed incrementalism specified by sequential game theory. Copyright 2006 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Do not cite or quote without permission from the authors. *Prepared for presentation at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association. Philadelphia, PA, August 31 – September 3, 2006.

Authors: Walker, Stephen. and Malici, Akan.
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U.S. Presidents and Foreign Policy Mistakes in the Exercise
of Power: Conceptual and Empirical Perspectives



Stephen
G.
Walker
Akan
Malici
Department of Political Science
Department of Political Science
Arizona State University
Furman University
Tempe, AZ 85287-3902
Greenville, SC 29613
Email:
stephen.## email not listed ##
Email:
akan.## email not listed ##
ABSTRACT
We answer the following questions in this paper regarding U.S. presidents and foreign policy
mistakes. What are foreign policy mistakes? What are the causes of foreign policy mistakes by
U.S. presidents? How can foreign policy mistakes be avoided, mitigated, and corrected? We
identify several types of mistakes of omission and commission in the exercise of power at the
diagnostic and prescriptive stages of decision-making by various U.S. presidents. The causes of
these foreign policy mistakes are deviations from a rational model of decision-making, due to a
variety of individual, group, and organizational decision-making pathologies. The prescription
that we recommend to cope with these pathologies is to follow an updated strategy of disjointed
incrementalism specified by sequential game theory.

Copyright 2006
ALL RIGHTS RESERVED
Do not cite or quote without
permission from the authors.


*Prepared for presentation at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science
Association. Philadelphia, PA, August 31 – September 3, 2006.


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