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Would 'Deterrence of Negligence' Reduce the Risk of Catastrophic Terrorism?

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Abstract:

Frustrated with the failure of more orthodox strategies to stem the risk of mass destruction terrorism, particularly with nuclear weapons, analysts have begun to advocate threatening deterrent retaliation against states whose insecure mass destruction weapons and materials are stolen and used in terrorist attacks against the United States. After elaborating on what is here termed “deterrence of negligence,” the paper evaluates a narrowly defined question: what would be the effect of the United States enunciating, either publicly or through private channels, a deterrence of negligence policy? This question is addressed in three parts. First, the status of current unilateral and cooperative efforts to secure vulnerable nuclear materials and weapons in the two case countries, Russia and Pakistan, is detailed. Second, the contribution of a deterrence of negligence policy towards preventing a terrorist attack with mass destruction weapons prior to such an attack is assessed. Third, the contribution of the policy towards making follow-on attacks less likely in the aftermath of an initial attack is assessed. Finally, in the context of a skeptical assessment of deterrence of negligence’s ability to ameliorate the threat of mass destruction terrorism, the paper briefly considers potential alternative strategies that could either complement or substitute for it.

Most Common Document Word Stems:

nuclear (159), weapon (84), threat (77), materi (75), deterr (74), state (72), secur (70), neglig (67), attack (55), russia (55), effort (47), terror (45), russian (43), would (42), cooper (40), u.s (34), reduct (28), polici (28), terrorist (27), 26 (27), unit (26),

Author's Keywords:

deterrence of negligence, terrorism, nuclear weapon, improvised nuclear device, mass destruction weapon, cooperative threat reduction, Russia, Pakistan, United States
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Name: American Political Science Association
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MLA Citation:

Bleek, Philipp. "Would 'Deterrence of Negligence' Reduce the Risk of Catastrophic Terrorism?" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Marriott, Loews Philadelphia, and the Pennsylvania Convention Center, Philadelphia, PA, Aug 31, 2006 <Not Available>. 2013-12-16 <http://citation.allacademic.com/meta/p151547_index.html>

APA Citation:

Bleek, P. C. , 2006-08-31 "Would 'Deterrence of Negligence' Reduce the Risk of Catastrophic Terrorism?" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Marriott, Loews Philadelphia, and the Pennsylvania Convention Center, Philadelphia, PA Online <PDF>. 2013-12-16 from http://citation.allacademic.com/meta/p151547_index.html

Publication Type: Proceeding
Abstract: Frustrated with the failure of more orthodox strategies to stem the risk of mass destruction terrorism, particularly with nuclear weapons, analysts have begun to advocate threatening deterrent retaliation against states whose insecure mass destruction weapons and materials are stolen and used in terrorist attacks against the United States. After elaborating on what is here termed “deterrence of negligence,” the paper evaluates a narrowly defined question: what would be the effect of the United States enunciating, either publicly or through private channels, a deterrence of negligence policy? This question is addressed in three parts. First, the status of current unilateral and cooperative efforts to secure vulnerable nuclear materials and weapons in the two case countries, Russia and Pakistan, is detailed. Second, the contribution of a deterrence of negligence policy towards preventing a terrorist attack with mass destruction weapons prior to such an attack is assessed. Third, the contribution of the policy towards making follow-on attacks less likely in the aftermath of an initial attack is assessed. Finally, in the context of a skeptical assessment of deterrence of negligence’s ability to ameliorate the threat of mass destruction terrorism, the paper briefly considers potential alternative strategies that could either complement or substitute for it.

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Document Type: PDF
Page count: 26
Word count: 8667
Text sample:
Would ‘Deterrence of Negligence’ Reduce the Risk of Catastrophic Terrorism? Philipp C. Bleek1 Georgetown University August 2006 Draft 1.7 Prepared for delivery at the 2006 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association August 30th-September 3 2006 Copyright by the American Political Science Association 1 Philipp C. Bleek is a doctoral candidate in international relations at Georgetown University. The author thanks Michele Flournoy Kathleen McInnis Clark Murdock Tara Murphy Owen Price and participants in the 2005-2006 Washington DC-based Center
Page 25 of 26 been accomplished in the threat reduction arena since the Soviet Union collapsed in 1991 but no party—not Russia not the United States and not other purportedly concerned countries—has made threat reduction the priority that abundant political rhetoric suggests it should be. That said there does appear to be a need for new thinking to address nuclear terrorism threats. And although I am deeply skeptical about deterrence of negligence this debate is a useful one in


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