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Vetoing Resolution: How External States Prolong Civil Wars |
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Abstract:
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What explains the effect of external intervention on the duration of civil war? The literature on external intervention has made some progress in addressing this question but it has been hindered by an assumption that states intervene in civil wars either to help one side win or to facilitate negotiations. Often, however, external states become involved in civil war to pursue some independent agenda. When states intervene in this fashion, they will make wars more difficult to resolve for two reasons: doing so introduces another actor that must approve any settlement to end the war, and external states generally have less incentive to negotiate than internal actors. Quantitative analysis of the effect of type of intervention on the duration of all civil wars begun since World War II provides support for the theory that external interventions with an independent agenda lead to longer wars. |
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war (163), conflict (161), state (132), extern (125), civil (112), interven (74), intervent (71), negoti (56), independ (50), durat (43), intern (43), group (40), govern (40), one (37), agenda (37), actor (34), parti (33), make (29), support (28), effect (28), measur (28), |
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Association:
Name: American Political Science Association URL: http://www.apsanet.org
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Citation:
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MLA Citation:
| Cunningham, David. "Vetoing Resolution: How External States Prolong Civil Wars" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Marriott, Loews Philadelphia, and the Pennsylvania Convention Center, Philadelphia, PA, Aug 31, 2006 <Not Available>. 2011-03-13 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p151684_index.html> |
APA Citation:
| Cunningham, D. , 2006-08-31 "Vetoing Resolution: How External States Prolong Civil Wars" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Marriott, Loews Philadelphia, and the Pennsylvania Convention Center, Philadelphia, PA Online <APPLICATION/PDF>. 2011-03-13 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p151684_index.html |
Publication Type: Proceeding Abstract: What explains the effect of external intervention on the duration of civil war? The literature on external intervention has made some progress in addressing this question but it has been hindered by an assumption that states intervene in civil wars either to help one side win or to facilitate negotiations. Often, however, external states become involved in civil war to pursue some independent agenda. When states intervene in this fashion, they will make wars more difficult to resolve for two reasons: doing so introduces another actor that must approve any settlement to end the war, and external states generally have less incentive to negotiate than internal actors. Quantitative analysis of the effect of type of intervention on the duration of all civil wars begun since World War II provides support for the theory that external interventions with an independent agenda lead to longer wars. |
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| Document Type: |
application/pdf |
| Page count: |
29 |
| Word count: |
9063 |
| Text sample: |
| Vetoing Resolution: How External States can Prolong Civil Wars David Cunningham Olin Institute for Strategic Studies Harvard University dacunnin@ucsd.edu Prepared for Presentation at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association Philadelphia PA September 1 2006 Draft: Please do not cite without permission Abstract: What explains the effect of external intervention on the duration of civil war? The literature on external intervention has made some progress in addressing this question but it has been hindered by an assumption |
| (0.25) (0.25) International Guarantee 0.905** 0.961** (0.258) (0.259) Polity2 -0.036* -0.037** (0.011) (.011) Logged Real GDP per capita 0.186** 0.183** (0.077) (0.077) Observations 1493 1493 Reported are coefficients with standard errors in parentheses. *significant at 0.1 level **significant at .05 level two-tailed tests 28 |
Similar Titles:
What is the Effect of Third-Party Conflict Mediation and Third-Party Conflict Participation on the Duration of Civil Wars?
External Actors and the Duration of Civil Conflicts: The Effect of Expected and Unexpected Interventions
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