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A Conditional Probability Analysis of Pattern-Based Models Applied to Event Data in the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict
Unformatted Document Text:  Schrodt and Hudson Page 25 Figure 8a: Difference between conditional and marginal probabilities for antecedent and consequent in material olive branch rule Figure 8b: Difference between conditional and marginal probabilities for antecedent and consequent in verbal olive branch rule Olive branch rule -0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 May-79 May-80 May-81 May-82 May-83 May-84 May-85 May-86 May-87 May-88 May-89 May-90 May-91 May-92 May-93 May-94 May-95 May-96 May-97 May-98 May-99 May-00 May-01 May-02 May-03 May-04 PSE ISR Olive branch -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 May-79 May-80 May-81 May-82 May-83 May-84 May-85 May-86 May-87 May-88 May-89 May-90 May-91 May-92 May-93 May-94 May-95 May-96 May-97 May-98 May-99 May-00 May-01 May-02 May-03 May-04 PSE ISR

Authors: Schrodt, Philip. and Hudson, Valerie.
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Schrodt and Hudson
Page 25
Figure 8a: Difference between conditional and marginal probabilities for antecedent and consequent
in material olive branch rule
Figure 8b: Difference between conditional and marginal probabilities for antecedent and consequent
in verbal olive branch rule
Olive branch rule
-0.5
-0.4
-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
May-79
May-80
May-81
May-82
May-83
May-84
May-85
May-86
May-87
May-88
May-89
May-90
May-91
May-92
May-93
May-94
May-95
May-96
May-97
May-98
May-99
May-00
May-01
May-02
May-03
May-04
PSE
ISR
Olive branch
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
May-79
May-80
May-81
May-82
May-83
May-84
May-85
May-86
May-87
May-88
May-89
May-90
May-91
May-92
May-93
May-94
May-95
May-96
May-97
May-98
May-99
May-00
May-01
May-02
May-03
May-04
PSE
ISR


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