Author's Keywords: congress, representation, franchise, African-American, southern politics, race, voting, uncertainty, spatial model, classification error, ideal point, NOMINATE, Senate, legislatures, amateur senators, roll calls, roll-call voting, constituency	Convention All Academic Convention can solve the abstract management needs for any association's annual meeting. Submission - Custom fields, multiple submission types, tracks, audio visual, multiple upload formats, automatic conversion to pdf. Review - Peer Review, Bulk reviewer assignment, bulk emails, ranking, z-score statistics, and multiple worksheets! Reports - Many standard and custom reports generated while you wait. Print programs with participant indexes, event grids, and more! Scheduling - Flexible and convenient grid scheduling within rooms and buildings. Conflict checking and advanced filtering. Communication - Bulk email tools to help your administrators send reminders and responses. Use form letters, a message center, and much more! Management - Search tools, duplicate people management, editing tools, submission transfers, many tools to manage a variety of conference management headaches! Click here for more information.
Association: Name: American Political Science Association URL: http://www.apsanet.org
Citation: URL: http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p152248_index.html Direct Link: HTML Code:

Grose, Christian. and Yoshinaka, Antoine. "Uncertainty and Black Voter Enfranchisement: Senators’ Inconsistent Voting Records in the U.S. South, 1951-2004" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Marriott, Loews Philadelphia, and the Pennsylvania Convention Center, Philadelphia, PA, Aug 31, 2006 <Not Available>. 2011-03-13 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p152248_index.html>

Grose, C. R. and Yoshinaka, A. , 2006-08-31 "Uncertainty and Black Voter Enfranchisement: Senators’ Inconsistent Voting Records in the U.S. South, 1951-2004" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Marriott, Loews Philadelphia, and the Pennsylvania Convention Center, Philadelphia, PA Online <APPLICATION/PDF>. 2011-03-13 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p152248_index.html

Publication Type: Proceeding Abstract: Can inconsistency in legislators’ voting records be explained by the uncertainty they have about their constituency? Why does a two-dimensional model of roll-call voting explain the votes of some legislators better than others? In this paper, we present an uncertainty-based theory of legislative voting and inconsistency. We test this theory by examining whether U.S. senators’ uncertainty about their constituency leads to higher levels of inconsistent voting in Congress. Specifically we compare southern senators who faced a large influx of black voters in the 1960s and 1970s with southern senators from more stable constituencies. We also examine other factors that can cause legislator uncertainty, such as legislators’ backgrounds. Our results suggest that what some call “maverick” behavior by legislators can be better characterized as best responses by incumbents to a changing environment.

Legislative Voting in 3D: Are Some U.S. Senators Mavericks, Flip-floppers, or Simply Uncertain About their Constituents’ Preferences?

Uncertainty and the Ideological Consistency of Roll-Call Voting in the U.S. Senate: The Case of Black Voter Enfranchisement in the U.S. South, 1961-2004