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Uncovering the Psychological Mechanism: How Campaigns Matter and Why

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Abstract:

Two problems, one data-driven one theory driven limit the study of campaign effects. First, it is difficult to separate who voters chose and why from who they would have chosen and why they made that choice had there been no campaign. This is the relevant comparison and most data are simply inappropriate for answering this question because they do not observe how an individual behaved without the campaign. Second, even though we know that campaign effects stem from both persuasion (changing the content of a voter’s attitude ) and heresthetic change or priming (changing the weights applied to or salience of specific determinants of vote choice), there have been nearly no attempts to undercover the underlying psychological mechanisms that lead voters to change which determinants they rely on. In this paper I draw on the recent controversy surrounding the different forms of attitude strength (Miller and Peterson 2004), to suggest that changes in citizens’ uncertainty are the key mediator of campaign effects. The results suggest that persuasion and changes in uncertainty but not ambivalence or importance are responsible for the changes in voters’ decisions during the campaign.

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chang (221), campaign (142), effect (115), attitud (114), vote (107), uncertainti (106), carter (102), issu (94), wave (90), trait (84), model (83), ford (74), measur (67), 0.05 (64), strength (63), voter (54), 0.06 (53), import (51), ambival (50), first (47), respond (42),
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Name: American Political Science Association
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MLA Citation:

Peterson, David. "Uncovering the Psychological Mechanism: How Campaigns Matter and Why" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Marriott, Loews Philadelphia, and the Pennsylvania Convention Center, Philadelphia, PA, Aug 31, 2006 <Not Available>. 2011-03-13 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p152353_index.html>

APA Citation:

Peterson, D. A. , 2006-08-31 "Uncovering the Psychological Mechanism: How Campaigns Matter and Why" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Marriott, Loews Philadelphia, and the Pennsylvania Convention Center, Philadelphia, PA Online <PDF>. 2011-03-13 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p152353_index.html

Publication Type: Proceeding
Abstract: Two problems, one data-driven one theory driven limit the study of campaign effects. First, it is difficult to separate who voters chose and why from who they would have chosen and why they made that choice had there been no campaign. This is the relevant comparison and most data are simply inappropriate for answering this question because they do not observe how an individual behaved without the campaign. Second, even though we know that campaign effects stem from both persuasion (changing the content of a voter’s attitude ) and heresthetic change or priming (changing the weights applied to or salience of specific determinants of vote choice), there have been nearly no attempts to undercover the underlying psychological mechanisms that lead voters to change which determinants they rely on. In this paper I draw on the recent controversy surrounding the different forms of attitude strength (Miller and Peterson 2004), to suggest that changes in citizens’ uncertainty are the key mediator of campaign effects. The results suggest that persuasion and changes in uncertainty but not ambivalence or importance are responsible for the changes in voters’ decisions during the campaign.

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Associated Document Available Political Research Online
Associated Document Available American Political Science Association

Document Type: PDF
Page count: 52
Word count: 10961
Text sample:
Uncovering the Psychological Mechanism: How Campaigns Matter and Why David A. M. Peterson Associate Professor Department of Political Science Texas A&M University 4348 TAMU College Station TX 77843-4348 dave@polisci.tamu.edu Abstract Two problems one data-driven one theory driven limit the study of campaign effects. First it is difficult to separate who voters chose and why from who they would have chosen and why they made that choice had there been no campaign. This is the relevant comparison and most data
-0.01 (0.05) 0.002 (0.06) -0.12* (0.07) -0.15* (0.05) Change in Ford retrospections 0.03 (0.08) 0.07 (0.10) -0.21* (0.07) -0.24* (0.07) Change in Ford issue*importance interaction -0.09 (0.06) 0.001 (0.07) 0.10 (0.06) 0.04 (0.05) Change in Carter issue*importance interaction 0.09 (0.06) 0.05 (0.06) -0.09 (0.06) -0.02 (0.05) Change in Carter trait*importance interaction 0.07 (0.16) 0.22 (0.18) -0.05 (0.16) 0.004 (0.11) Change in For trait*importance interaction 0.41 (0.24) -0.57 (0.32) -0.23 (0.18) 0.15 (0.09) 52


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