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Korean Security and Big Power Rivalry

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Abstract:

Korean security in the next fifty years will be closely intertwined with the future of two very important bilateral relationships: U.S.-Sino relations and Sino-Japanese relations. In some respects, North and South Korea will be bystanders working to position themselves favorably as these relationships unfold. However, for other aspects, the two Koreas may be important players in the future of these bilateral relationships. This paper will address the following questions. What are the possible directions of big power relations in East Asia in the next fifty years and what impact will these have on Korean security? How can North and South Korea influence these big power relationships to help ensure peace and stability in the region while protecting their interests?

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china (117), korea (70), japan (68), region (46), north (42), japanes (38), u.s (35), state (35), power (35), chines (34), unit (33), relat (29), south (28), secur (28), 2006 (26), import (25), forc (24), militari (24), peac (22), war (21), futur (20),
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Name: American Political Science Association
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MLA Citation:

Roehrig, Terence. "Korean Security and Big Power Rivalry" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Marriott, Loews Philadelphia, and the Pennsylvania Convention Center, Philadelphia, PA, Aug 31, 2006 <Not Available>. 2011-03-13 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p153389_index.html>

APA Citation:

Roehrig, T. , 2006-08-31 "Korean Security and Big Power Rivalry" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Marriott, Loews Philadelphia, and the Pennsylvania Convention Center, Philadelphia, PA Online <APPLICATION/PDF>. 2011-03-13 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p153389_index.html

Publication Type: Proceeding
Abstract: Korean security in the next fifty years will be closely intertwined with the future of two very important bilateral relationships: U.S.-Sino relations and Sino-Japanese relations. In some respects, North and South Korea will be bystanders working to position themselves favorably as these relationships unfold. However, for other aspects, the two Koreas may be important players in the future of these bilateral relationships. This paper will address the following questions. What are the possible directions of big power relations in East Asia in the next fifty years and what impact will these have on Korean security? How can North and South Korea influence these big power relationships to help ensure peace and stability in the region while protecting their interests?

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Document Type: application/pdf
Page count: 21
Word count: 6742
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Korean Security and Big Power Rivalry by Terence Roehrig National Security and Decision Making Department Naval War College 686 Cushing Rd. Code 1B Newport RI 02841 (401) 841-7509 terence.roehrig@nwc.navy.mil Prepared for presentation at the 2006 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association and Association of Korean Political Studies September 1 2006 DRAFT PAPER: PLEASE DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE WITHOUT PERMISSION Introduction1 Throughout its history the Korean Peninsula has had the unfortunate geographic destiny to be located between
conflict between the big power rivals in Northeast Asia. However North and South Korea are not powerless and have some ability to shape the future of these rivalries. Moreover to do nothing or even worse join the fray and exacerbate the conflict could be far worse. Should reunification occur in the next 50 years the situation will change dramatically as a united Korea will have greater leverage in the long-term but will likely be preoccupied with domestic adjustment issues


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