Author's Keywords: democratic transitions, democratic consolidation, authoritarian transitions, democratic stability, event history analysis	Convention Need a solution for abstract management? All Academic can help! Contact us today to find out how our system can help your annual meeting. Submission - Custom fields, multiple submission types, tracks, audio visual, multiple upload formats, automatic conversion to pdf. Review - Peer Review, Bulk reviewer assignment, bulk emails, ranking, z-score statistics, and multiple worksheets! Reports - Many standard and custom reports generated while you wait. Print programs with participant indexes, event grids, and more! Scheduling - Flexible and convenient grid scheduling within rooms and buildings. Conflict checking and advanced filtering. Communication - Bulk email tools to help your administrators send reminders and responses. Use form letters, a message center, and much more! Management - Search tools, duplicate people management, editing tools, submission transfers, many tools to manage a variety of conference management headaches! Click here for more information.
Association: Name: American Political Science Association URL: http://www.apsanet.org
Citation: URL: http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p209145_index.html Direct Link: HTML Code:

Aleman, Jose. and Yang, David. "A Duration Analysis of Democratic Transitions and Authoritarian Backslides" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Hyatt Regency Chicago and the Sheraton Chicago Hotel and Towers, Chicago, IL, Aug 30, 2007 <Not Available>. 2011-06-08 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p209145_index.html>

Aleman, J. and Yang, D. D. , 2007-08-30 "A Duration Analysis of Democratic Transitions and Authoritarian Backslides" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Hyatt Regency Chicago and the Sheraton Chicago Hotel and Towers, Chicago, IL Online <PDF>. 2011-06-08 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p209145_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript Abstract: A dramatic shift away from authoritarianism began in the mid-1970s and continued with the end of the Cold War. As of 2005, democracy governed more than half of the planet�s inhabitants. What explains transitions to and away from democracy? Using global data from 1950 to 1999, we estimate Cox proportional hazard models of democratic and autocratic transitions. We find that whereas the stability of democracies is highly sensitive to relatively short-term political factors as well as more enduring structural characteristics such as the level of economic development, the structure of the economy, etc., the emergence of democracy appears largely stochastic and is only weakly affected by factors such as short term economic fluctuations. Our findings challenge the literature on political regimes, democratic transitions, and democratic consolidation.

Inequality and Politics: Change and Continuity in Income Levels in Developed Countries

Foreign Investment, Income Inequality, and Political Violence: A Cross National Analysis of Less Developed Countries 1970-2000.