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A Formal Model of Presidential-Legislative Relations in Multiparty Settings

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Abstract:

In this paper I address the problem of how presidents obtain legislative support in a presidential multiparty setting. In these settings, presidents exert considerable control over a vast array of politicly useful resources, part of which are used to obtain legislative support in the legislature to govern (pass legislation). I present a formal model of executive-legislative relations that assumes presidents seek to minimize the costs of coalition-formation. In this setup, legislators have an ex ante affinity toward the president, the president controls different types of goods that can be transferred to individual politicians and parties, and this the distribution of resources wins over the votes needed to pass legislation.

The model shows that presidents negotiate deals with individual legislators in exchange for legislative support even if economies of scale exist in bargaining with parties as a whole. While exchanging resources for support with individual legislators makes sense both from the president's and from the legislator's perspective, it generates the side-effect of reducing the amount of resources that are channeled to (or through) parties. Thus, the main consequence of institutions that allow for political exchanges between an executive and an individual legislator is the weakening of parties. I briefly discuss Brazil and Uruguay - cases that support this finding.

I also carry out the empirical analysis of the model's specific predictions, to test how well the model predicts what actually occurred between 1996 and 2006 in terms of cabinet formation, the distribution of pork, and party behavior in Brazil. Results show that whenever presidents deviate from the model's predictions for optimal behavior, their levels of legislative support dwindle. While based on data from Brazil, these results should generalize to any multiparty presidential system in which the president controls very substantial amounts of non-policy resources, such as in most of Latin America and other new democracies.

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parti (255), presid (208), legisl (171), good (124), model (109), j (100), vote (94), predict (93), xj (68), x (63), individu (57), cost (55), resourc (55), two (51), v (51), use (50), one (49), 1 (48), receiv (48), m (46), 0 (46),

Author's Keywords:

legislative-executive relations, presidency, latin america
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Zucco, Cesar. "A Formal Model of Presidential-Legislative Relations in Multiparty Settings" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Hyatt Regency Chicago and the Sheraton Chicago Hotel and Towers, Chicago, IL, Aug 30, 2007 <Not Available>. 2011-06-08 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p210310_index.html>

APA Citation:

Zucco, C. , 2007-08-30 "A Formal Model of Presidential-Legislative Relations in Multiparty Settings" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Hyatt Regency Chicago and the Sheraton Chicago Hotel and Towers, Chicago, IL Online <APPLICATION/PDF>. 2011-06-08 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p210310_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Abstract: In this paper I address the problem of how presidents obtain legislative support in a presidential multiparty setting. In these settings, presidents exert considerable control over a vast array of politicly useful resources, part of which are used to obtain legislative support in the legislature to govern (pass legislation). I present a formal model of executive-legislative relations that assumes presidents seek to minimize the costs of coalition-formation. In this setup, legislators have an ex ante affinity toward the president, the president controls different types of goods that can be transferred to individual politicians and parties, and this the distribution of resources wins over the votes needed to pass legislation.

The model shows that presidents negotiate deals with individual legislators in exchange for legislative support even if economies of scale exist in bargaining with parties as a whole. While exchanging resources for support with individual legislators makes sense both from the president's and from the legislator's perspective, it generates the side-effect of reducing the amount of resources that are channeled to (or through) parties. Thus, the main consequence of institutions that allow for political exchanges between an executive and an individual legislator is the weakening of parties. I briefly discuss Brazil and Uruguay - cases that support this finding.

I also carry out the empirical analysis of the model's specific predictions, to test how well the model predicts what actually occurred between 1996 and 2006 in terms of cabinet formation, the distribution of pork, and party behavior in Brazil. Results show that whenever presidents deviate from the model's predictions for optimal behavior, their levels of legislative support dwindle. While based on data from Brazil, these results should generalize to any multiparty presidential system in which the president controls very substantial amounts of non-policy resources, such as in most of Latin America and other new democracies.

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Document Type: application/pdf
Page count: 32
Word count: 17762
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A Formal Model and Empirical Assessment of Presidential-Legislative Relations in Multiparty Settings∗ Cesar Zucco Jr. CSDP — Woodrow Wilson School Department of Political Science Princeton University University of California Los Angeles Princeton NJ 08544 Los Angeles CA 90095 zucco@Princeton.EDU danicamp@ucla.edu This version: August 14 2007 Current version and other related work available at http://czucco.bol.ucla.edu/ Presidents need legislative support to govern effectively (i.e. to pass the measures that will improve economic performance) and to fulfill their campaign promises. However in
289–304. Shepsle K. 1974. “On the Size of Winning Coalitions.” American Political Science Review (June): 505–518. Souza Josias de. 2005. “Lula extingue direito da sociedade ao otimismo.” Folha de S˜o Paulo (October a 2). Weingast Barry. 1979. “A Rational Choice Perspective on Congressional Norms.” American Journal of Political Science (February): 245–262. Zucco Jr. Cesar. 2007. “Ideology or What: Declared ideological positoins and observed behavior in the Brazilian Legislature.” Prepared for Delivery at the MPSA meeting Chicago April 2007. 32


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