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Elections as Levers of Democracy: An Empirical Investigation |
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Abstract:
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In this paper we purport to test the proposition that elections have a democratizing effect, drawing on cross-sectional time-series data at best covering a global sample of 193 countries from 1919 to 2004. The current effect of elections hypothesis implies that the
holding of an election tends to yield democratizing gains either in the time period following shortly after the election or in the non-electoral spheres of society. We find some support for this hypothesis, but this support hinges on the inclusion of one or two outlying observations. The historical effect of elections hypothesis instead holds that a prolonged series of elections in the end tends to yield a democratizing effect. This version found no support whatsoever in the data. Neither a cumulative stock of elections, regardless of their nature or quality, nor a cumulative stock of multiparty elections or democratic elections had any visible effects on the prospects for democratization. We conclude by discussing the implications of these negative findings for the field. |
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elect (255), democrat (169), effect (120), time (101), democraci (97), countri (78), year (77), model (74), measur (69), variabl (56), lag (50), fh/polity (46), 1975 (45), signific (44), one (43), 1 (42), data (40), polit (38), regim (38), politi (37), control (35), |
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Association:
Name: American Political Science Association URL: http://www.apsanet.org
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Citation:
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MLA Citation:
| Hadenius, Axel. and Teorell, Jan. "Elections as Levers of Democracy: An Empirical Investigation" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Hyatt Regency Chicago and the Sheraton Chicago Hotel and Towers, Chicago, IL, Aug 30, 2007 <Not Available>. 2011-06-08 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p210985_index.html> |
APA Citation:
| Hadenius, A. and Teorell, J. , 2007-08-30 "Elections as Levers of Democracy: An Empirical Investigation" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Hyatt Regency Chicago and the Sheraton Chicago Hotel and Towers, Chicago, IL Online <APPLICATION/PDF>. 2011-06-08 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p210985_index.html |
Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript Abstract: In this paper we purport to test the proposition that elections have a democratizing effect, drawing on cross-sectional time-series data at best covering a global sample of 193 countries from 1919 to 2004. The current effect of elections hypothesis implies that the
holding of an election tends to yield democratizing gains either in the time period following shortly after the election or in the non-electoral spheres of society. We find some support for this hypothesis, but this support hinges on the inclusion of one or two outlying observations. The historical effect of elections hypothesis instead holds that a prolonged series of elections in the end tends to yield a democratizing effect. This version found no support whatsoever in the data. Neither a cumulative stock of elections, regardless of their nature or quality, nor a cumulative stock of multiparty elections or democratic elections had any visible effects on the prospects for democratization. We conclude by discussing the implications of these negative findings for the field. |
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32 |
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12343 |
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| Elections as Levers of Democracy: An Empirical Investigation Jan Teorell Department of Political Science Lund University Jan.Teorell@svet.lu.se Axel Hadenius Department of Political Science Lund University Axel.Hadenius@svet.lu.se Prepared for delivery at the 2007 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association August 30−September 2 2007. Copyright by the American Political Science Association. We would like to thank Michael Wahman for excellent research assistance. Abstract: In this paper we purport to test the proposition that elections have a democratizing effect drawing |
| background; the proportion of Protestants Orthodox Christians Christians of other denomination Buddhists Hindus Muslims Nonreligious and of Other denomination; ethno-linguistic and religious fractionalization; the log of the population; a composite index of socio-economic modernization; oil and minerals; trade and capital flows; democratic diffusion at the level of neighboring states within regions and globally; membership in democratic regional organizations; growth and inflation. SQUARE ROOT implies that the election variable has been transformed to its square root. Models with TIME WEIGHTs |
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