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Experiencing Psychological Processes and Understanding their Implications
Unformatted Document Text:  13 Appendix B: Flu Outbreak Illness Imagine that the U.S. is preparing for the outbreak of an unusual disease, which is expected to kill 600 people. Two alternative programs to combat the disease have been proposed. Assume that the exact scientific estimates of the consequences of the programs are as follows: If Program A is adopted, 400 people will die. If Program B is adopted, there is a 1/3 probability that nobody will die, and a 2/3 probability that 600 people will die. Program A Program B Flu Imagine that the U.S. is preparing for the outbreak of an unusual disease, which is expected to kill 600 people. Two alternative programs to combat the disease have been proposed. Assume that the exact scientific estimates of the consequences of the programs are as follows: If Program A is adopted, 200 people will be saved. If Program B is adopted, there is a 1/3 probability that 600 people will be saved, and a 2/3 probability that no people will be saved. Which of the two programs would you favor? Program A Program B

Authors: Transue, John.
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13
Appendix B: Flu Outbreak
Illness

Imagine that the U.S. is preparing for the outbreak of an unusual disease,
which is expected to kill 600 people. Two alternative programs to combat
the disease have been proposed. Assume that the exact scientific
estimates of the consequences of the programs are as follows:

If Program A is adopted, 400 people will die.

If Program B is adopted, there is a 1/3 probability that nobody will die,
and a 2/3 probability that 600 people will die.

Program A
Program B
Flu

Imagine that the U.S. is preparing for the outbreak of an unusual disease,
which is expected to kill 600 people. Two alternative programs to combat
the disease have been proposed. Assume that the exact scientific
estimates of the consequences of the programs are as follows:

If Program A is adopted, 200 people will be saved.

If Program B is adopted, there is a 1/3 probability that 600 people will be
saved, and a 2/3 probability that no people will be saved.

Which of the two programs would you favor?

Program A
Program B


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