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Identifying Electoral Fraud: A Novel Test and New Data From Nigeria
Unformatted Document Text:  References Philip J. Boland and Kevin Hutchinson. Student selection of random digits. Statistician, 49 (4):519–529, 2000. Alphonse Chapanis. Random-number guessing behavior. American Psychologist, 8:332, 1953. European Union Election Observation Mission. Nigeria 2003 elections: Final report, 2003. Darren Kew. The 2003 elections: Hardly credible, but acceptable. In Robert I. Rotberg, editor, Crafting the New Nigeria: Strengthening the Nation. Boulder: Lynne Rienner, 2004. Darren Kew. Democrazy: Dem go craze, o: Monitoring the 1999 elections. Issue: A Journal of Opinion, 27(1):29–33, 1999. Walter R. Mebane, Jr. Election forensics: Vote counts and Benford’s law. Working paper, 2006. Walter R. Mebane, Jr. and Jasjeet S. Sekhon. Robust estimation and outlier detection for overdispersed multinomial models of count data. American Journal of Political Science, 48(2):392–411, 2004. Mikhail Myagkov, Peter Ordeshook, and Dimitry Shakin. Fraud or fairytales: Russia and Ukraine’s electoral experience. Post-Soviet Affairs, 21(2):91–131, 2005. Raymond S. Nickerson. Perception and production of randomness. Psychological Review, 109(2):330–357, 2002. Mark J. Nigrini. I’ve got your number: How a mathematical phenomenon can help CPAs uncover fraud and other irregularities. Journal of Accountancy, 187(5), 1999. Gustave J. Rath. Randomization by humans. American Journal of Psychology, 79(1):979– 103, 1966. Satod Cartographic Consultants. Satod street guide and administrative centers, Jos, Plateau state, 2003. Christin Sch¨ afer, J¨ org-Peter Schr¨ apler, Klaus-Robert M¨ uller, and Gert Wagner. Automatic identification of faked and fraudulent interviews by two different methods. German Insti- tute for Economic Research Discussion Paper, 2004. Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman. Subjective probability: A judgment of representa- tiveness. Cognitive Psychology, 3:430–454, 1972. Jonathan N. Wand, Kenneth W. Shotts, Jasjeet S. Sekhon, Walter R. Mebane, Jr., Michael C. Herron, and Henry E. Brady. The butterfly did it: The aberrant vote for Buchanan in Palm Beach County, Florida. American Political Science Review, 95(4):793–810, 2001. 27

Authors: Beber, Bernd. and Scacco, Alexandra.
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References
Philip J. Boland and Kevin Hutchinson. Student selection of random digits. Statistician, 49
(4):519–529, 2000.
Alphonse Chapanis. Random-number guessing behavior. American Psychologist, 8:332, 1953.
European Union Election Observation Mission. Nigeria 2003 elections: Final report, 2003.
Darren Kew. The 2003 elections: Hardly credible, but acceptable. In Robert I. Rotberg,
editor, Crafting the New Nigeria: Strengthening the Nation. Boulder: Lynne Rienner,
2004.
Darren Kew. Democrazy: Dem go craze, o: Monitoring the 1999 elections. Issue: A Journal
of Opinion, 27(1):29–33, 1999.
Walter R. Mebane, Jr. Election forensics: Vote counts and Benford’s law. Working paper,
2006.
Walter R. Mebane, Jr. and Jasjeet S. Sekhon. Robust estimation and outlier detection for
overdispersed multinomial models of count data. American Journal of Political Science,
48(2):392–411, 2004.
Mikhail Myagkov, Peter Ordeshook, and Dimitry Shakin. Fraud or fairytales: Russia and
Ukraine’s electoral experience. Post-Soviet Affairs, 21(2):91–131, 2005.
Raymond S. Nickerson. Perception and production of randomness. Psychological Review,
109(2):330–357, 2002.
Mark J. Nigrini. I’ve got your number: How a mathematical phenomenon can help CPAs
uncover fraud and other irregularities. Journal of Accountancy, 187(5), 1999.
Gustave J. Rath. Randomization by humans. American Journal of Psychology, 79(1):979–
103, 1966.
Satod Cartographic Consultants. Satod street guide and administrative centers, Jos, Plateau
state, 2003.
Christin Sch¨
afer, J¨
org-Peter Schr¨
apler, Klaus-Robert M¨
uller, and Gert Wagner. Automatic
identification of faked and fraudulent interviews by two different methods. German Insti-
tute for Economic Research Discussion Paper, 2004.
Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman. Subjective probability: A judgment of representa-
tiveness. Cognitive Psychology, 3:430–454, 1972.
Jonathan N. Wand, Kenneth W. Shotts, Jasjeet S. Sekhon, Walter R. Mebane, Jr., Michael C.
Herron, and Henry E. Brady. The butterfly did it: The aberrant vote for Buchanan in
Palm Beach County, Florida. American Political Science Review, 95(4):793–810, 2001.
27


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