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Latino Political Trust and Policy Preferences: The Impact of Trust on Health Care Reform in California
Unformatted Document Text:  In the first step of the analysis I will use an OLS regression to examine whether trust in state government has an impact on support for health care reform. Then, I will add an interaction of LATINO*TRUST to examine whether trust has the same impact among whites. Next, I will examine whether Hetherington’s “sacrifice based” theory or Rudolph and Evans’s ideological sacrifice theory holds true among Latinos at the state level. In order to examine Hetherington’s theory I will generate an interaction term (TRUST*BENEFIT) that interacts trust in the state government with being a potential benefactor of the proposed policy. This interactive term will be added to a Latino only model and will test whether political trust is less important among Latinos that stand to benefit from the policy. In order to examine Rudolph and Evans’s ideological sacrifice theory I will generate an interaction term (TRUST*IDEOLOGY) that interacts trust in state government with ideological self placement. The use of this interactive term in a model of Latino trust will allow me to examine whether political trust is less important among liberal Latinos than among those that are conservative. Analysis The results of the initial model provide quite interesting results. The findings in Table 1 suggest that the generational status and level of political trust impact Latino support for health care reform. However, in the case of political trust, this relationship is not in the expected direction. The negative sign associated with our trust variable means that as Latino trust in government increases that support for health care reform decreases. As perplexing as this is, there could be a logical reason for such a finding. A closer examination of those Latinos that are more trusting reveals that they tend to be more conservative and more likely to be a Republican. 9

Authors: Bonner, Dean.
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In the first step of the analysis I will use an OLS regression to examine whether trust in
state government has an impact on support for health care reform. Then, I will add an interaction
of LATINO*TRUST to examine whether trust has the same impact among whites.
Next, I will examine whether Hetherington’s “sacrifice based” theory or Rudolph and
Evans’s ideological sacrifice theory holds true among Latinos at the state level. In order to
examine Hetherington’s theory I will generate an interaction term (TRUST*BENEFIT) that
interacts trust in the state government with being a potential benefactor of the proposed policy.
This interactive term will be added to a Latino only model and will test whether political trust is
less important among Latinos that stand to benefit from the policy.
In order to examine Rudolph and Evans’s ideological sacrifice theory I will generate an
interaction term (TRUST*IDEOLOGY) that interacts trust in state government with ideological
self placement. The use of this interactive term in a model of Latino trust will allow me to
examine whether political trust is less important among liberal Latinos than among those that are
conservative.
Analysis
The results of the initial model provide quite interesting results. The findings in Table 1
suggest that the generational status and level of political trust impact Latino support for health
care reform. However, in the case of political trust, this relationship is not in the expected
direction. The negative sign associated with our trust variable means that as Latino trust in
government increases that support for health care reform decreases. As perplexing as this is,
there could be a logical reason for such a finding. A closer examination of those Latinos that are
more trusting reveals that they tend to be more conservative and more likely to be a Republican.
9


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