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A Change in Attitudes Toward Muslims? A Bayesian Investigation of Pre and Post 9/11 Public Opinion
Unformatted Document Text:  q q q q q q q q q q q q q AgeEducationIncomeWhiteFemaleSouthFavor JewYear:2001Year:2002Year:2005Cut point 1|2Cut point 2|3Cut point 3|4 −3 −1.5 0 1.5 3 n.obs = 8842 n.complete = 2402 Estimates of the pooled ordered logistic model Figure 2: Estimated coefficients (and 50% and 95% intervals, thin bars and thick barsrespectively) for the ordered categorical logistic regression of American’s attitudestoward Muslims on age, education income, race, and other predictors, as fit usingpooled data of 2000, 2001, 2002, and 2005. The 2000 and 2001 datasets were surveyedprior 9/11 and the 2002 and 2005 were surveyed after the 9/11. The estimates of theyear indicators show that 2001, 2002 and 2005 do not have any or slightly negative(2002) effect on Muslim attitudes. 95% confidence intervals cover zero for all years. 2000 Cut point 3|4 Cut point 2|3 Cut point 1|2 Favor Jew South Female White Income Education Age q q q q q q q q q q −3 −1.5 0 1.5 3 n = 489 2001 q q q q q q q q q q −3 −1.5 0 1.5 3 n = 946 2002 q q q q q q q q q q −3 −1.5 0 1.5 3 n = 484 2005 q q q q q q q q q q −3 −1.5 0 1.5 3 n = 483 Estimates of ordered logistic models by year Figure 3: Estimated coefficients (and 50% and 95% intervals) for ordered categoricallogistic regression of respondents’ attitudes toward Muslim on age, education income,race, and other predictors, as fit separately to the datasets of 2000, 2001, 2002, and2005. Overall, the estimates of 2001 are more efficient as number of observations for2001 are almost twice bigger than those of the other three years. 13

Authors: Kalkan, Kerem. and Su, Yu-Sung.
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background image
q
q
q
q
q
q
q
q
q
q
q
q
q
Age
Education
Income
White
Female
South
Favor Jew
Year:2001
Year:2002
Year:2005
Cut point 1|2
Cut point 2|3
Cut point 3|4
−3
−1.5
0
1.5
3
n.obs = 8842 n.complete = 2402
Estimates of the pooled ordered logistic model
Figure 2: Estimated coefficients (and 50% and 95% intervals, thin bars and thick bars
respectively) for the ordered categorical logistic regression of American’s attitudes
toward Muslims on age, education income, race, and other predictors, as fit using
pooled data of 2000, 2001, 2002, and 2005. The 2000 and 2001 datasets were surveyed
prior 9/11 and the 2002 and 2005 were surveyed after the 9/11. The estimates of the
year indicators show that 2001, 2002 and 2005 do not have any or slightly negative
(2002) effect on Muslim attitudes. 95% confidence intervals cover zero for all years.
2000
Cut point 3|4
Cut point 2|3
Cut point 1|2
Favor Jew
South
Female
White
Income
Education
Age
q
q
q
q
q
q
q
q
q
q
−3
−1.5
0
1.5
3
n = 489
2001
q
q
q
q
q
q
q
q
q
q
−3
−1.5
0
1.5
3
n = 946
2002
q
q
q
q
q
q
q
q
q
q
−3
−1.5
0
1.5
3
n = 484
2005
q
q
q
q
q
q
q
q
q
q
−3
−1.5
0
1.5
3
n = 483
Estimates of ordered logistic models by year
Figure 3: Estimated coefficients (and 50% and 95% intervals) for ordered categorical
logistic regression of respondents’ attitudes toward Muslim on age, education income,
race, and other predictors, as fit separately to the datasets of 2000, 2001, 2002, and
2005. Overall, the estimates of 2001 are more efficient as number of observations for
2001 are almost twice bigger than those of the other three years.
13


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