All Academic, Inc. Research Logo

Info/CitationFAQResearchAll Academic Inc.
Document

Early Presidential Primaries, Viability, and Vote Switching in 2008
Unformatted Document Text:  9, 10, 11, the days in which Obama’s win dominated the headlines in Washington state. While this is not a factual “who won” question, it captures the momentum that Obama generated in Washington state in the aftermath of his 68 – 31 victory. Candidate evaluations. Respondents were asked to rate each candidate on a traditional feeling thermometer in both the October and February waves. Given that our dependent variables concern Barack Obama, we created a variable to capture the change in feeling thermometer ratings for Obama called Obama thermometer difference. This measure subtracts the value a respondent assigned Obama at point 1 from the value assigned at point 2 and results in a variable ranging from -52 to +92. Overall, 23% of respondents held a lower rating in February, 13% held the exact same rating, and 64% held a higher rating of Obama in February as compared to October. Campaign dynamics and issues. It is also important to tap into the actual campaign dynamics, as well as the key issues that each candidate championed. To this end, we created two variables about presidential qualities, and two variables about most important issue. Respondents were asked, “Which of the following do you think is the most important quality for a presidential candidate—can bring about change, cares about people, has experience, or ability to win in November?” and we created a dummy variable called experience and another called change. For issues, respondents were asked “Thinking about the upcoming Presidential primary elections, what general issues are most important to you as you decide how you will vote?” and we created a dummy variable for the Iraq war and a second for health care. We expect the quality experience 10

Authors: Barreto, Matt., Collingwood, Loren. and Donovan, Todd.
first   previous   Page 10 of 21   next   last



background image
9, 10, 11, the days in which Obama’s win dominated the headlines in Washington state.
While this is not a factual “who won” question, it captures the momentum that Obama
generated in Washington state in the aftermath of his 68 – 31 victory.
Candidate evaluations. Respondents were asked to rate each candidate on a traditional
feeling thermometer in both the October and February waves. Given that our dependent
variables concern Barack Obama, we created a variable to capture the change in feeling
thermometer ratings for Obama called Obama thermometer difference. This measure
subtracts the value a respondent assigned Obama at point 1 from the value assigned at
point 2 and results in a variable ranging from -52 to +92. Overall, 23% of respondents
held a lower rating in February, 13% held the exact same rating, and 64% held a higher
rating of Obama in February as compared to October.
Campaign dynamics and issues. It is also important to tap into the actual campaign
dynamics, as well as the key issues that each candidate championed. To this end, we
created two variables about presidential qualities, and two variables about most important
issue. Respondents were asked, “Which of the following do you think is the most
important quality for a presidential candidate—can bring about change, cares about
people, has experience, or ability to win in November?” and we created a dummy
variable called experience and another called change. For issues, respondents were asked
“Thinking about the upcoming Presidential primary elections, what general issues are
most important to you as you decide how you will vote?” and we created a dummy
variable for the Iraq war and a second for health care. We expect the quality experience
10


Convention
Need a solution for abstract management? All Academic can help! Contact us today to find out how our system can help your annual meeting.
Submission - Custom fields, multiple submission types, tracks, audio visual, multiple upload formats, automatic conversion to pdf.
Review - Peer Review, Bulk reviewer assignment, bulk emails, ranking, z-score statistics, and multiple worksheets!
Reports - Many standard and custom reports generated while you wait. Print programs with participant indexes, event grids, and more!
Scheduling - Flexible and convenient grid scheduling within rooms and buildings. Conflict checking and advanced filtering.
Communication - Bulk email tools to help your administrators send reminders and responses. Use form letters, a message center, and much more!
Management - Search tools, duplicate people management, editing tools, submission transfers, many tools to manage a variety of conference management headaches!
Click here for more information.

first   previous   Page 10 of 21   next   last

©2012 All Academic, Inc.