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IGOs and the Determinants of Member State Interest Convergence
Unformatted Document Text:  interest similarity, I include a dummy variable coded 1 if one of the states in the dyad was a colony of the other state at some time in its history ( COLONIAL RELATIONSHIP ) . Model Specification The base model (Model 1), which is laid out in equation (1) below, is a fixed effects model with robust standard errors clustered on the dyad. Table 1 presents descriptive statistics for the variables in the model. It is important to note also that the LOWMEMBERS IGO MEMBERSHIP variable is lagged by five years for both theoretical and methodological reasons. Since I seek to explain state interest convergence, it makes sense that I look at the effect that membership in IGOs with certain institutional attributes has on interest similarity five years later. As noted above, socialization theory proposes that socialization occurs as the result of repeated meetings over long periods of time . Therefore, I expect socialization effects to take several years to be reflected in state interests. Indeed, when looking at the effects of structured IGOs on interest convergence, the IGO effect increased with each additional time lag up to four years (See Figure 1) . Equation 1: AFFINITY XT = B 0 *Constant + B 1 * AFFINITY XT -1 + B 2 * LOWMEMBERS IGO MEMBERSHIP XT -5 + B 3 * EXTRA - IGO CONTACT XT + B 4 * DOMESTIC POLITICAL DIFFERENCE XT + B 5 * DYADIC TRADE XT + B 6 * RELATIVE ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT XT + B 7 * RELATIVE ECONOMIC SIZE XT + B 8 * RELATIVE MILITARY POWER XT + B 9 * JOINT MILITARY ALLIANCE XT + B 10 * COLD WAR XT + B 11 * GEOGRAPHIC DISTANCE X + B 12 * COLONIAL RELATIONSHIP X 26

Authors: Bondanella, Stacy.
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interest similarity, I include a dummy variable coded 1 if one of the states in the dyad was
a colony of the other state at some time in its history (
COLONIAL
RELATIONSHIP
) .
Model Specification
The base model (Model 1), which is laid out in equation (1) below, is a fixed
effects model with robust standard errors clustered on the dyad. Table 1 presents
descriptive statistics for the variables in the model. It is important to note also that the
LOWMEMBERS
IGO
MEMBERSHIP
variable is lagged by five years for both theoretical and
methodological reasons. Since I seek to explain state interest convergence, it makes
sense that I look at the effect that membership in IGOs with certain institutional attributes
has on interest similarity five years later. As noted above, socialization theory proposes
that socialization occurs as the result of repeated meetings over long periods of time .
Therefore, I expect socialization effects to take several years to be reflected in state
interests. Indeed, when looking at the effects of structured IGOs on interest convergence,
the IGO effect increased with each additional time lag up to four years (See Figure 1) .
Equation 1:
AFFINITY
XT
= B
0
*Constant + B
1
*
AFFINITY
XT
-1
+ B
2
*
LOWMEMBERS
IGO
MEMBERSHIP
XT
-5
+
B
3
*
EXTRA
-
IGO
CONTACT
XT
+ B
4
*
DOMESTIC
POLITICAL
DIFFERENCE
XT
+ B
5
*
DYADIC
TRADE
XT
+
B
6
*
RELATIVE
ECONOMIC
DEVELOPMENT
XT
+ B
7
*
RELATIVE
ECONOMIC
SIZE
XT
+ B
8
*
RELATIVE
MILITARY
POWER
XT
+ B
9
*
JOINT
MILITARY
ALLIANCE
XT
+ B
10
*
COLD
WAR
XT
+ B
11
*
GEOGRAPHIC
DISTANCE
X
+ B
12
*
COLONIAL
RELATIONSHIP
X
26


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