All Academic, Inc. Research Logo

Info/CitationFAQResearchAll Academic Inc.
Document

Bandwagoning vs. Balancing Alliances in Regional Security Systems
Unformatted Document Text:  Licht 19 Findings If bandwagon alliances are actually as powerful a tool of satisfaction management as the theory above predicts, we should expect leading states to employ them. H 1 holds that bandwagoning alliances occur at least as frequently as balancing alliances. In order to assess the veracity of this prediction, we must create a fair comparison. Since bandwagon alliances are those between a hegemon and a minor state, the number of such alliances is considerably smaller than the number of possible balancing alliances between subordinate states. Dyad years including regional hegemons are outnumbered by those including only minor states. In this dataset 3,024 “chances” exist for bandwagon alliances and 5,110 “chances” exist for balancing. Thus even though over 700 more dyad years of balancing alliances turn up, it appears that bandwagons are actually utilized just as frequently, if not more so. Forty-two per cent of bandwagoning possibilities and 40% of balancing possibilities are fulfilled. This is strong support for H 1 . [Tables 3 and 4 about here] Hypotheses 2 and 3 contend that bandwagoning alliances suppress the likelihood of conflict. We can evaluate this proposition at both the dyadic and systemic level. The simple correlations provide little support. Dyadic bandwagon ties and regional bandwagoning dynamics are negatively correlated with dispute onset, but the relationship is weak (Pearson’s r = -.03 and -.08 respectively). The relationships, however, are highly significant. Tables 3 through 6 present cross tabulations with measures of association and significance. More problematic for the hypothesis is the fairly equal pacific impact of balancing alliances and dynamics. Observed dyadic conflict drops by just under 2% when a bandwagon alliance ties two states together. A balancing alliance imposes a

Authors: Licht, Amanda.
first   previous   Page 19 of 31   next   last



background image
Licht 19
Findings
If bandwagon alliances are actually as powerful a tool of satisfaction management
as the theory above predicts, we should expect leading states to employ them. H
1
holds
that bandwagoning alliances occur at least as frequently as balancing alliances. In order
to assess the veracity of this prediction, we must create a fair comparison. Since
bandwagon alliances are those between a hegemon and a minor state, the number of such
alliances is considerably smaller than the number of possible balancing alliances between
subordinate states.
Dyad years including regional hegemons are outnumbered by those including
only minor states. In this dataset 3,024 “chances” exist for bandwagon alliances and
5,110 “chances” exist for balancing. Thus even though over 700 more dyad years of
balancing alliances turn up, it appears that bandwagons are actually utilized just as
frequently, if not more so. Forty-two per cent of bandwagoning possibilities and 40% of
balancing possibilities are fulfilled. This is strong support for H
1
.
[Tables 3 and 4 about here]
Hypotheses 2 and 3 contend that bandwagoning alliances suppress the likelihood
of conflict. We can evaluate this proposition at both the dyadic and systemic level. The
simple correlations provide little support. Dyadic bandwagon ties and regional
bandwagoning dynamics are negatively correlated with dispute onset, but the relationship
is weak (Pearson’s r = -.03 and -.08 respectively). The relationships, however, are highly
significant. Tables 3 through 6 present cross tabulations with measures of association
and significance. More problematic for the hypothesis is the fairly equal pacific impact
of balancing alliances and dynamics. Observed dyadic conflict drops by just under 2%
when a bandwagon alliance ties two states together. A balancing alliance imposes a


Convention
Submission, Review, and Scheduling! All Academic Convention can help with all of your abstract management needs and many more. Contact us today for a quote!
Submission - Custom fields, multiple submission types, tracks, audio visual, multiple upload formats, automatic conversion to pdf.
Review - Peer Review, Bulk reviewer assignment, bulk emails, ranking, z-score statistics, and multiple worksheets!
Reports - Many standard and custom reports generated while you wait. Print programs with participant indexes, event grids, and more!
Scheduling - Flexible and convenient grid scheduling within rooms and buildings. Conflict checking and advanced filtering.
Communication - Bulk email tools to help your administrators send reminders and responses. Use form letters, a message center, and much more!
Management - Search tools, duplicate people management, editing tools, submission transfers, many tools to manage a variety of conference management headaches!
Click here for more information.

first   previous   Page 19 of 31   next   last

©2012 All Academic, Inc.