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Decision Makers' Use of False Analogies Causing Miscalculation and War
Unformatted Document Text:  Horan 44 diminishing miscalculation as a cause of war. From these conclusions questions arise about the role of miscalculation. Is it a cause of war or one small element of a larger decision making process? How is miscalculation avoided without absolute transparency in relations between states and decision makers? In the end, how can one stop war from occurring? This the real reason to study miscalculation and the use of analogies, to stop war through tackling one small cause of it at a time. Figure 1 84 84 Levy, 264.

Authors: Horan, Elizabeth.
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Horan 44
diminishing miscalculation as a cause of war. From these conclusions questions arise about the
role of miscalculation. Is it a cause of war or one small element of a larger decision making
process? How is miscalculation avoided without absolute transparency in relations between
states and decision makers? In the end, how can one stop war from occurring? This the real
reason to study miscalculation and the use of analogies, to stop war through tackling one small
cause of it at a time.
Figure 1
84
Levy, 264.


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