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Gay Marriage and Civil Unions: The Impact of Network Diversity on Opinion
Unformatted Document Text:  21 Table 8. Changes in predicted probabilities. No Legal Recognition Civil Unions Full Marriage Female -11.9% (-21.1% to -2.9%) -3.9% (-10.6% to 2.9%) +15.8% (5.6% to 27.1%) Age: under 32 -11.5% (-23.0% to -1.0%) -4.3% (-13.0% to 3.4%) +15.8% (5.5% to 27.1%) Age: 55 and up +0.5% (-11.2% to 11.9%) +12.1% (3.0% to 22.2%) -12.6% (-23.3% to -1.7%) Black +0.2% (-12.9% to 13.2%) +9.2% (-2.4% to 21.9%) -9.4% (-21.9% to 2.7%) Hispanic +4.2% (-10.2% to 20.2%) +11.0% (-1.6% to 25.8%) -15.2% (-26.5% to -3.3%) Income -4.7% (-10.7% to 1.1%) +5.7% (0.9% to 11.2%) -1.0% (-7.7% to 5.1%) Education -30.3% (-44.0% to -15.6%) +8.5% (-2.0% to 21.8%) +21.8% (6.7% to 38.3%) Republican +22.4% (11.1% to 34.0%) -0.4% (-6.2% to 14.6%) -21.9% (-33.3% to -12.1%) Married +3.9% (-6.2% to 14.6%) +5.8% (-2.3% to 14.1%) -9.7% (-19.9% to 0.2%) Live with partner -21.8% (-36.3% to -7.7%) +10.8% (-2.3% to 25.3%) +11.0% (-4.4% to 26.6%) Nonfundamentalist religion +12.6% (1.4% to 23.1%) +3.8% (-4.3% to 12.8%) -16.3% (-26.5% to -7.4%) Fundamentalist religion +31.1% (19.5% to 41.4%) -8.2% (-17.8% to 0.9%) -22.9% (-33.9% to -12.7%) Mean probability change (95% confidence interval) Source: U.S. Citizenship, Involvement and Democracy survey (Howard et al., 2005).

Authors: Jensen, Micah.
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Table 8. Changes in predicted probabilities.
No Legal
Recognition
Civil Unions
Full Marriage
Female
-11.9%
(-21.1% to -2.9%)
-3.9%
(-10.6% to 2.9%)
+15.8%
(5.6% to 27.1%)
Age: under 32
-11.5%
(-23.0% to -1.0%)
-4.3%
(-13.0% to 3.4%)
+15.8%
(5.5% to 27.1%)
Age: 55 and up
+0.5%
(-11.2% to 11.9%)
+12.1%
(3.0% to 22.2%)
-12.6%
(-23.3% to -1.7%)
Black
+0.2%
(-12.9% to 13.2%)
+9.2%
(-2.4% to 21.9%)
-9.4%
(-21.9% to 2.7%)
Hispanic
+4.2%
(-10.2% to 20.2%)
+11.0%
(-1.6% to 25.8%)
-15.2%
(-26.5% to -3.3%)
Income
-4.7%
(-10.7% to 1.1%)
+5.7%
(0.9% to 11.2%)
-1.0%
(-7.7% to 5.1%)
Education
-30.3%
(-44.0% to -15.6%)
+8.5%
(-2.0% to 21.8%)
+21.8%
(6.7% to 38.3%)
Republican
+22.4%
(11.1% to 34.0%)
-0.4%
(-6.2% to 14.6%)
-21.9%
(-33.3% to -12.1%)
Married
+3.9%
(-6.2% to 14.6%)
+5.8%
(-2.3% to 14.1%)
-9.7%
(-19.9% to 0.2%)
Live with partner
-21.8%
(-36.3% to -7.7%)
+10.8%
(-2.3% to 25.3%)
+11.0%
(-4.4% to 26.6%)
Nonfundamentalist religion
+12.6%
(1.4% to 23.1%)
+3.8%
(-4.3% to 12.8%)
-16.3%
(-26.5% to -7.4%)
Fundamentalist religion
+31.1%
(19.5% to 41.4%)
-8.2%
(-17.8% to 0.9%)
-22.9%
(-33.9% to -12.7%)
Mean probability change
(95% confidence interval)
Source: U.S. Citizenship, Involvement and Democracy survey (Howard et al., 2005).


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