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An Open-Seat Presidential Election in an Era of Polarized Partisan Parity: A Pre-election Perspective on the 2008 Presidential Election

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Abstract:

The paper examines six components of the 2008 presidential election and evaluates them for whether they favor the Democrats, the Republicans, or a close election. Partisanship, polarization, the nomination campaigns, and the open seat nature of the election favor a close election. Retrospective considerations favor the Democrats and prospective considerations may favor the Republicans. The context suggests another very close election and the polls, especially after adjusting for the competitive effect of the campaign and the partisan effect of the difference between registered and actual voters corroborates the analysis of the election's context.

Most Common Document Word Stems:

parti (92), vote (92), elect (86), democrat (54), percent (52), voter (51), poll (48), candid (45), republican (42), point (39), mccain (35), presidenti (34), open (31), two (30), campaign (30), seat (29), polar (28), obama (28), nomin (27), conserv (25), rate (25),

Author's Keywords:

election, campaign, partisanship, polarization, incumbency, open seat, polls, nomination contests, retrospective voting, values, prospective voting
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Name: APSA 2008 Annual Meeting
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http://www.apsanet.org


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URL: http://citation.allacademic.com/meta/p279836_index.html
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MLA Citation:

Campbell, James. "An Open-Seat Presidential Election in an Era of Polarized Partisan Parity: A Pre-election Perspective on the 2008 Presidential Election" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the APSA 2008 Annual Meeting, Hynes Convention Center, Boston, Massachusetts, Aug 28, 2008 <Not Available>. 2014-11-30 <http://citation.allacademic.com/meta/p279836_index.html>

APA Citation:

Campbell, J. E. , 2008-08-28 "An Open-Seat Presidential Election in an Era of Polarized Partisan Parity: A Pre-election Perspective on the 2008 Presidential Election" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the APSA 2008 Annual Meeting, Hynes Convention Center, Boston, Massachusetts Online <APPLICATION/PDF>. 2014-11-30 from http://citation.allacademic.com/meta/p279836_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Abstract: The paper examines six components of the 2008 presidential election and evaluates them for whether they favor the Democrats, the Republicans, or a close election. Partisanship, polarization, the nomination campaigns, and the open seat nature of the election favor a close election. Retrospective considerations favor the Democrats and prospective considerations may favor the Republicans. The context suggests another very close election and the polls, especially after adjusting for the competitive effect of the campaign and the partisan effect of the difference between registered and actual voters corroborates the analysis of the election's context.


Similar Titles:
Barack Obama's Ideology in the Eyes of Voters: Perceptions During the 2008 Presidential Election Campaign

Pulling at Our Heartstrings: The Republican Party’s Use of Pathos in Their Presidential Campaign Rhetoric as an Explanation for Their Success in Recent Presidential Elections

Do Modern Campaigns Mobilize or Deter Voters? The Changing Role of the Media and Party Activity in U.S. Presidential Elections

The Impact of Incorrect Voting for Republican Candidates from Poor Whites in Presidential Elections from 1972-2004


 
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