Citation

Testing a Learning Theory of Deterrence Among Serious Juvenile Offenders

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Abstract:

According to Bayesian Leaning Theory, individuals choose to offend with inherent uncertainty regarding potential risks of getting caught, and update their prior beliefs about risk after being arrested or not. We use this framework to analyze risk-updating in a panel of serious juvenile offenders. We test whether individuals update subjective perceptions based on experiences with offending and arrest. We find that individuals do change risk perceptions in accordance with learning theory, with low-frequency offenders showing more change in perceptions than high-frequency offenders, conditional upon arrest or avoidance. Also, there appears to be a ‘ceiling’ for risk perception for high-frequency offenders.
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Association:
Name: American Psychology - Law Society
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http://www.ap-ls.org/


Citation:
URL: http://citation.allacademic.com/meta/p296008_index.html
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MLA Citation:

Loughran, Thomas., Anwar, Shamena. and Mulvey, Edward. "Testing a Learning Theory of Deterrence Among Serious Juvenile Offenders" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Psychology - Law Society, TBA, San Antonio, TX, Mar 05, 2009 <Not Available>. 2014-11-30 <http://citation.allacademic.com/meta/p296008_index.html>

APA Citation:

Loughran, T. , Anwar, S. and Mulvey, E. P. , 2009-03-05 "Testing a Learning Theory of Deterrence Among Serious Juvenile Offenders" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Psychology - Law Society, TBA, San Antonio, TX <Not Available>. 2014-11-30 from http://citation.allacademic.com/meta/p296008_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Review Method: Peer Reviewed
Abstract: According to Bayesian Leaning Theory, individuals choose to offend with inherent uncertainty regarding potential risks of getting caught, and update their prior beliefs about risk after being arrested or not. We use this framework to analyze risk-updating in a panel of serious juvenile offenders. We test whether individuals update subjective perceptions based on experiences with offending and arrest. We find that individuals do change risk perceptions in accordance with learning theory, with low-frequency offenders showing more change in perceptions than high-frequency offenders, conditional upon arrest or avoidance. Also, there appears to be a ‘ceiling’ for risk perception for high-frequency offenders.


Similar Titles:
Minor and Serious Offending among American and Bolivian University Students: A Test of Social Learning Theory

Testing a Bayesian Learning Theory of Deterrence among Serious Juvenile Offenders

A Test of General Strain Theory’s (GST) Predictive Ability to Explain Serious Juvenile Offending


 
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