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Culture, Race, and Economics in the Shifting Rural White Vote in the Hill Country South in 2008

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Abstract:

Barack Obama either held his own, or actually improved on the electoral performance of John Kerry, in most Southern states. A look below the state-level indicates a continued sorting in the rural upper and border South. Obama did better in suburbs, urban areas, and the black belt, and much worse in white, rural counties, especially counties in the Ozarks and the Appalachian South. In this paper, we test a variety of cultural, racial, economic, social, and contextual hypotheses advanced to explain the shift in the Democratic presidential vote in the states of the upper Rim South and Border South. We rely mainly on aggregate data from the county level, applying variants of ecological inference and weighted least squares regression to model the changing white Southern presidential vote. Our initial analysis in Tennessee and Oklahoma indicates a strong association between the presence of large, evangelical Protestant congregations in rural hill counties and the decline in the Kerry-to-Obama vote.

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vote (84), polit (71), counti (55), south (53), democrat (51), southern (50), black (49), elect (45), appalachian (44), white (41), appalachia (37), hill (36), 2008 (35), shift (35), 2004 (30), countri (29), obama (29), presidenti (26), chang (24), state (24), 1996 (23),
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Name: Southern Political Science Association
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MLA Citation:

Gaddie, Ronald. and Buchanan, Scott. "Culture, Race, and Economics in the Shifting Rural White Vote in the Hill Country South in 2008" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Southern Political Science Association, Crowne Plaza Hotel Ravinia, Atlanta, Georgia, Jan 06, 2010 <Not Available>. 2014-11-28 <http://citation.allacademic.com/meta/p385481_index.html>

APA Citation:

Gaddie, R. K. and Buchanan, S. E. , 2010-01-06 "Culture, Race, and Economics in the Shifting Rural White Vote in the Hill Country South in 2008" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Southern Political Science Association, Crowne Plaza Hotel Ravinia, Atlanta, Georgia Online <APPLICATION/PDF>. 2014-11-28 from http://citation.allacademic.com/meta/p385481_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Review Method: Peer Reviewed
Abstract: Barack Obama either held his own, or actually improved on the electoral performance of John Kerry, in most Southern states. A look below the state-level indicates a continued sorting in the rural upper and border South. Obama did better in suburbs, urban areas, and the black belt, and much worse in white, rural counties, especially counties in the Ozarks and the Appalachian South. In this paper, we test a variety of cultural, racial, economic, social, and contextual hypotheses advanced to explain the shift in the Democratic presidential vote in the states of the upper Rim South and Border South. We rely mainly on aggregate data from the county level, applying variants of ecological inference and weighted least squares regression to model the changing white Southern presidential vote. Our initial analysis in Tennessee and Oklahoma indicates a strong association between the presence of large, evangelical Protestant congregations in rural hill counties and the decline in the Kerry-to-Obama vote.


Similar Titles:
Racial Resentment or Old-Fashioned Racism? Explaining the Vote Choice of Southern and Non-southern Whites in the 2012 U.S. Presidential Election

Obama Takes the Rich: Heuristic Pairing and Political Preference Change During the 2008 Election Cycle

The Return of Sister Souljah: Billary, Obama and Black Candidates in the 2008 South Carolina Democratic Primary


 
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