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Assessing Reactive Proliferation: Why Nuclear Dominoes Rarely Fall |
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Abstract:
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Throughout the nuclear age, scholars and policymakers have predicted greater proliferation than has occurred. Such dire predictions rest substantially on the widely accepted notion that proliferation is reactive: in George Shultzâs succinct formulation, â |
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prolifer (255), nuclear (214), state (190), weapon (142), variabl (103), rival (92), reactiv (71), acquir (58), model (57), code (53), analysi (52), explor (50), result (47), like (45), secur (45), one (45), behavior (44), 41 (44), also (41), page (40), arm (36), |
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Association:
Name: Theory vs. Policy? Connecting Scholars and Practitioners
URL: http://www.isanet.org
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Citation:
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MLA Citation:
| Bleek, Philipp. "Assessing Reactive Proliferation: Why Nuclear Dominoes Rarely Fall" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Theory vs. Policy? Connecting Scholars and Practitioners, New Orleans Hilton Riverside Hotel, The Loews New Orleans Hotel, New Orleans, LA, Feb 17, 2010 <Not Available>. 2013-05-04 <http://citation.allacademic.com/meta/p414027_index.html> |
APA Citation:
| Bleek, P. , 2010-02-17 "Assessing Reactive Proliferation: Why Nuclear Dominoes Rarely Fall" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Theory vs. Policy? Connecting Scholars and Practitioners, New Orleans Hilton Riverside Hotel, The Loews New Orleans Hotel, New Orleans, LA Online <APPLICATION/PDF>. 2013-05-04 from http://citation.allacademic.com/meta/p414027_index.html |
Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Review Method: Peer Reviewed
Abstract: Throughout the nuclear age, scholars and policymakers have predicted greater proliferation than has occurred. Such dire predictions rest substantially on the widely accepted notion that proliferation is reactive: in George Shultzâs succinct formulation, â |
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| Document Type: |
application/pdf |
| Page count: |
41 |
| Word count: |
12998 |
| Text sample: |
| Does Proliferation Beget Proliferation? Why Nuclear Dominoes Rarely Fall Philipp C. Bleek Pre-Doctoral Research Fellow Project on Managing the Atom and International Security Program Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs John F. Kennedy School of Government Harvard University PhD Candidate Department of Government Georgetown University Prepared for presentation at the 2010 International Studies Association conference February 17-20 2010 New Orleans LA Comments welcome at philippbleek@gmail.com. Please check with author before citing. [Note: Tables included in separate appendix.] Abstract |
| Another way to frame this possibility is to ask whether there is something fundamentally different about the current situation which suggests that historical experience offers little purchase in analyzing it. These caveats notwithstanding the bottom line is that many analysts appear to be exaggerating the likelihood of reactive proliferation in response to Iran North Korea and more generally. This paper is hopefully a useful starting point for a richer empirically- informed debate about whether and under what conditions states |
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